ALG Sees Slight Residual Value Drop in this Reporting Period


Eric Lyman
Direc­tor of Resid­ual Val­ue Solu­tions

ALG expects resid­ual val­ues to decline 0.7% dur­ing the July/August time peri­od cov­ered in its Indus­try Report. Gaso­line prices were down with -0.1 per­cent­age point impact in seg­ments with strong fuel econ­o­my and +0.1-ppt impact in seg­ments with poor fuel econ­o­my. The over­all macro impact for July/August com­pared to May/June is neu­tral. July/August is less pos­i­tive than that edi­tion a year ago, when a mar­ket adjust­ment lead to a 1-ppt. bump in resid­u­als.

On Aver­age, Seg­ment-Lev­el Sup­ply Has -0.1-ppt Impact on Resid­u­als:
At indus­try lev­el, ALG’s sup­ply fore­cast has increased, lead­ing to 0.2-ppt drop in resid­u­als.

Seg­ment-lev­el Sup­ply Changes Vary, from -0.2 ppts for Com­pact, Mid­size, and Full­size Pick­ups:
To 0 ppts for Pre­mi­um Com­pact Util­i­ty, Micro­cars, and Sub­com­pact Util­i­ty.

In Edi­tion-over-Edi­tion Changes in Per­cent­age Points (on 36 month leas­es):
Largest actu­al changes seen in Sub­com­pact (-1.3%), Mid­size (-1.3%), and Com­pact (-1.2%)



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