NADA Releases Report on Impact of Auto Loans on Used Vehicle Prices

Jonathan Banks
Exec­u­tive Auto­mo­tive Ana­lyst
NADA Used Car Guide

Lender invest­ments are expect­ed to come increas­ing­ly under pres­sure as cred­it tran­si­tions from an excep­tion­al peri­od of low risk to one of decid­ed­ly high­er risk. Cred­it con­di­tions will con­tin­ue to be favor­able for some time, but not at quite the same unprece­dent­ed lev­el. Cred­it con­di­tions are expect­ed to weak­en for auto loans. This will put down­ward pres­sure on used vehi­cles prices, as will expand­ing pool of used vehi­cles.

See the new report — Vehi­cle Equi­ty: Man­ag­ing the Risk Ahead

Fed­er­al Reserve Deci­sion to Raise Short-Term Inter­est Rates Expect­ed in Q3 2015:
Will push auto loan rates high­er for first time in a decade, although rates will like­ly rise slow­ly.

Used Vehi­cle Price Com­pres­sion Also Dri­ven by Off-Lease Vol­ume Increase:
Made it to 3.2 mil­lion units in 2014 and sec­ond only to 1999’s total of 3.3 mil­lion.

NADA Expects that New Vehi­cle Pric­ing Pres­sure Will Also Soft­en Used Prices:
Depre­ci­a­tion of vehi­cles up to 8 years old expect­ed to jump from 14% this year to near 18%.

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